Nations that send asylum seekers to third countries for offshore processing and holding could spend billions, only to face accusations of human rights abuses and financial mismanagement, as in Australia. The European Union (EU) has nevertheless been considering the idea, and the United States (US) has already made similar third-country deals, but Australia has been processing or relocating people outside the country where they seek protection for more than two decades. Former Australian Prime Minister John Howard introduced the so-called "Pacific Solution" in 2001, targeting immigrants who arrived by boat, and establishing Australian migration processing centers with the help from governments in Papua New Guinea (PNG) and the tiny island nation of Nauru .
Center-left and center-right governments described the policy as a deterrent, saying people were less likely to attempt dangerous ocean crossings or pay smugglers if arriving by boat did not provide a route to Australia. In his 2001 election policy speech, Howard said the famous line, frequently quoted since: "We will decide who comes to this country and the circumstances in which they come." In 2008, a newly elected Labor Party government phased out the practice, saying it was a cynical, costly, and ultimately unsuccessful exercise. But faced with more deaths at sea, a Labor government under Prime Minister Julia Gillard started sending maritime arrivals to Nauru and Manus again in 2012, after an expert panel recommended reopening the centers.
"I'm not going to play politics or look at political scoreboards when too many lives have been lost," Gillard said at the time. Between 2013 and 2014, the number of people transferred offshore peaked to more than 3,000. Journalists have been mostly barred from the centers on Nauru and Manus Island.
Graham Thom, Advocacy Coordinator for the Refugee Council of Australia (RCOA), told DW that this lack of access and independent oversight meant many Australians accepted the narrative that the policy was working. People without a legal right to remain in the EU could face deportation to third countries as soon as 2027, with Rwanda and Uzbekistan reportedly under consideration as third-party countries, as well as Uganda. The European Parliament in June approved new rules that would pave the way for so-called "return hubs" outside the EU's borders.
Denmark's Minister for Immigration and Integration, Morten Bodskov, told reporters last month the hubs would not be detention and deportation centers. "We are not talking about camps," Bodskov said, describing the scheme instead as "a new chance to have a life in a partner country." Denmark, alongside Germany, Austria, Greece, and the Netherlands, known collectively as the Group of Five, said in September they had agreed on steps towards a deal with a non-EU country, without naming it. The group was to speak with the United Nations (UN) body, the International Organization for Migration, and the UN Refugee Agency about their next steps.
The proposal allows for harsh penalties for those who refuse to be removed to the hubs, including detention for up to 30 months pending deportation from the EU and entry bans. The US government has already made deals with at least 30 third countries in Africa and Latin America. In June, Amnesty International said some agreements had been revealed through the US Freedom of Information Act, while others "remain secret." The US Supreme Court ruled late last month that the second Trump administration could resume deportations under the third-country scheme, after a US appeals court ruled that immigrants must receive effective notice of their intended destination and an opportunity to challenge removal if they fear persecution or torture.
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