This summer, Wall Street strategist Tom Lee made headlines when he suggested that many investors were "rage quitting" crypto. These investors are tired of seeing AI and tech stocks soar in value while crypto assets continue to plummet. At the time, billionaire Mark Cuban had just announced that he was selling nearly all his Bitcoin, and it looked like other top investors would soon join him.
After all, Bitcoin is down 50% from its highs and ranks among the world's worst-performing assets right now. This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.
For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue » But maybe it's still too early to throw in the towel on crypto. If you're thinking about trimming your crypto allocation all the way to zero, you might want to rethink that decision.
Prediction markets have emerged as one of the most popular new ways to trade crypto. Prediction market contracts offer investors a way to express simple "yes/no" opinions about the prices of specific cryptocurrencies or the probabilities of certain crypto-related events. Investors can easily find prediction market contracts for the largest market-cap cryptocurrencies, with the most popular involving specific price points.
When Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) and Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN) reported Q2 earnings, both saw huge spikes from prediction market revenue. In fact, Robinhood reported higher revenue from prediction market trading than from spot crypto trading. This is a potential sign of things to come.
Coinbase is diversifying away from being just a crypto exchange, planning to offer trading in just about any digital asset imaginable, including tokenized assets and financial derivatives. So it's a bit short-sighted to look only at spot crypto trading volume, see that it has dried up this year, and conclude that crypto is over. Moreover, some areas of the crypto market are actually soaring in value.
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