President Trump’s return to office was made possible in part because of increasing support from three traditionally Democratic groups: Hispanic voters (41% supported Trump, a 6-point improvement from 2020), young voters (46%, up 10 points) and Black voters (15%, up 7 points). There isn’t much evidence that Democrats have figured out how to talk to these voters again, but for two of the three groups, Trump’s declining approval rating is doing the job for them. In a recent Marquette survey, two-thirds of young Americans said they disapproved of Trump, and 56% said they would support the Democratic candidate in their district.
Hispanics were also unhappy with the president: 71% disapproved of his performance and 56% said they’ll support a Democrat this November. Black voters haven’t come all the way home yet. One in five Black Americans approves of Trump, but only 69% say they’ll support a Democrat in their district.
That’s 21 points below Biden’s 2020 share of the Black vote, when he thanked those voters for delivering his victory. DSA BRAND ON TRIAL AS EL-SAYED STRUGGLES WHERE DEMS CAN LEAST AFFORD IT Democratic candidates in three battleground states are also staring at Black voter erosion, but they’ve found ways to stem the losses. Jon Ossoff is running 10 points behind Biden’s 2020 support among Black voters.
In North Carolina, it’s 7 points. James Talarico is running about even with Black voters over that period. It’s a different story in Michigan.
According to a new Fox News poll, 75% of Black voters support newly minted Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. That’s down 18 points from their support for Biden. EL-SAYED ADMITS FREE HEALTHCARE MEANS PAYING 'A LITTLE BIT MORE IN TAXES' REGARDLESS OF INCOME El-Sayed’s far-left platform is probably playing a role in Black voters’ skepticism.
In the Marquette survey, just 36% of Black Americans said they had a favorable view of the Democratic Socialists of America. (Bear in mind that because Black voters are a small group in most surveys, these results have large margins of error.) You can also see it in the maps from three recent Democratic primaries: El-Sayed did poorly in Black-majority areas like Detroit, while Wisconsin democratic socialist Francesca Hong underperformed in Milwaukee, another city with a high Black population. Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a card-carrying member of the DSA, also struggled with Black voters in New York City last year. That might explain why he’s been on a "Black media blitz" to defend some of his most controversial ideas.
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