Conservative influencer and close Donald Trump ally Laura Loomer has predicted "November is going to be a bust" ahead of crunch midterm elections where Democrats are hoping to flip both the Senate and the House. Losing one, or worse both, chambers of Congress would be a major blow to Trump and significantly restrict his ability to pass legislation during the final two years of his second term in the White House. In a post on social media platform X, Loomer wrote: "Anyway, November is going to be a bust.
But there’s only so much you can do." It comes as polls give the Democratic Party a significant lead in the generic congressional vote ahead of the midterm elections, with Senate seats in traditional Republican strongholds such as Texas and Alaska potentially vulnerable. Newsweek contacted Loomer and the Republican Party for comment, via X direct message and email respectively, on Tuesday outside of regular office hours and is awaiting a response. Loomer is an influential conservative activist and self-styled "investigative journalist" with 1.9 million X followers who hosts the ‘Loomer Unleashed’ show on video streaming platform Rumble.
She accompanied Trump to a number of campaign events during the 2024 presidential election where the then Republican White House nominee described her as a "supporter" and "free spirit." At an Iowa rally in January 2024, Trump described Loomer as a "very important person, politically." In her X post published on Monday, Loomer, who has frequently criticized the Islamic faith, added: "America will learn the hard way about the threat of communism and Islam since it’s not being taken seriously." In 2022, the Southern Poverty Law Center, an advocacy group that describes itself as "a catalyst for racial justice," called Loomer "an anti-Muslim bigot and conspiracy theorist." Loomer also expressed irritation at Trump meeting with New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani at Gracie Mansion in New York on Monday. The president said Mamdani has the "potential" to "be a great mayor," angering some conservatives online. On X, Loomer said: "I am a die hard Trump supporter and today I am feeling demoralized because Mamdani is a full blown communist jihadist.
He is the spiritual leader of the communists in America and he met with the President today in NYC less than 45 days before the midterms." Mamdani identifies as a social democrat and during a 2025 debate said: "I have never, not once, spoken in support of global jihad." According to an average of nationwide polling between September 2 and 20, conducted by the RealClearPolling website, Democrats had a nationwide lead of 8.5 percentage points in a generic congressional vote with 50.5 percent of the vote against 42 percent for the Republicans. Over the same period, RealClearPolling found Trump had an average approval rating of -18.5 percentage points, with 58.6 percent of voters disapproving of his performance versus just 40.1 percent who approved. A survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted by NBC News from September 11 to 15 put Democrats ahead by five points on the generic ballot, while a poll of 1,389 likely voters between September 15 and 18 by Quantus Insights gave them an eight-point lead.
One poll of 1,100 American adults, conducted by the American Research Group between September 16 and 20, found Trump’s approval rating was just 29 percent, the first time he has been below 30 percent in either of his White House terms. The survey had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. A New York Times/Siena University poll of 1,503 likely voters, conducted between September 8 and 13, found Democrats were trusted more on seven out of eight important policy areas, consisting of health care, immigration, the deficit, the economy, cost of living, foreign wars and the Israel-Palestine conflict.
Republicans enjoyed only a narrow two-point lead on artificial intelligence. The survey had a 2.9 percentage point margin of error. As of its most-recent update on September 21, Decision Desk HQ, an election analytics website, gave Democrats a 70 percent chance of securing the House in November though the Senate was closer a 52 percent probability of Democrat victory.
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