The Florida State Seminoles pulled off an upset in Week 1 of the 2025 season against Alabama, but they're hoping they won't be on the other side of a surprising result when they host New Mexico State in Week 0 of the 2026 college football season. The Seminoles won 13 games in head coach Mike Norvell's fourth season, but they've won just seven games over his last two campaigns. This is likely his make-or-break season in Tallahassee, and he'll try to have his group put together a resounding victory on Saturday night.
Kickoff from Doak Campbell Stadium is set for 7 p.m. Use the latest DraftKings promo code to get $150 in bonus bets after spending $5+: Florida State is a 31.5-point home favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, and the total sits at 53.5. If you're looking to bet on college football, you should see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying about New Mexico State vs.
Florida State on Saturday. The model is on a 31-19 run on top-rated college football money-line picks since the 2024 season. It has also been upgraded for the 2026 season to even better factor in the transfer portal to help nail college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites.
Use the latest BetMGM bonus code to get $1,500 in bonus bets here: The Aggies won three games is Sanchez's first season and four in his second, so there's some momentum for this Conference USA program. Transfer quarterback Trey Hedden comes in after two solid seasons at Furman, though he will need to cut down on turnovers for this offense to click. TK King is the top pass-catching option, but Brodie Malone-Bradford and TJ Pride did see meaningful snaps a year ago and should be viable contributors.
The biggest question mark will be New Mexico State's defense, which brings back plenty of experience but also inconsistency. The Aggies allowed 14 points or fewer in three games last year but also gave up 30+ points in seven. Florida State's win over Alabama in Week 1 a year ago looked like a sign of the program returning to prominence.
Norvell had followed up two double-digit win campaigns with a 2-10 season, so that victory was a massive jolt for the Seminoles. They were 3-0 entering the game against Virginia, which was the start of a four-game losing streak. All those losses were by one possession.
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