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NFL Week 4 picks: Our experts face off on Steelers at Browns, Cowboys vs. Texans and more

NFL Week 4 picks: Our experts face off on Steelers at Browns, Cowboys vs. Texans and more

cbssports.com 01.10.2026 14:41 10 views
CBS Sports writers Jordan Dajani and Jared Dubin predict this weekend's top games

Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season has plenty of storylines to watch. Derrick Henry is looking to run wild against his former team in the Tennessee Titans; the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders battle from London; and Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams look to get back on track vs. the Philadelphia Eagles. This season has been pretty unpredictable so far.

Four teams enter Week 4 tied for the best record in their division after last-place finishes in 2025: The Las Vegas Raiders, Cleveland Browns, New York Giants and the New Orleans Saints. Which one of these teams could be a legitimate sleeper? And when could we see J.J.

McCarthy take over at quarterback in New York? Below, CBS Sports writers Jordan Dajani and Jared Dubin break down the biggest games of the weekend. For clarity, lines for these selections were taken on Sept. 29 over at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Advanced data courtesy of CBS Sports Research Dajani (Steelers -2.5): Ready for a crazy stat? The Steelers have lost seven straight road games against the Browns when not starting Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback. The last non-Roethlisberger Steelers quarterback to win in Cleveland was Tommy Maddox in 2003!

Maybe it takes a Hall of Famer like Aaron Rodgers to break that streak, even if he lost to Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland last year. The Steelers are Jekyll and Hyde to me. They registered one of the worst offensive performances I've ever seen in Week 2, only to drop 30 points and 411(!) total yards on the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3!

So, which Steelers team are we going to see on Thursday? I'm not 100% sure, but I will say that the Browns' 2-1 start is overrated. This offense ranks bottom five in yards per game (266.0), third down percentage (30.6%) and red zone TD percentage (37.5%) this season, and probably should have blown out the Carolina Panthers last Sunday … Prediction: Steelers 21, Browns 17 Dubin (Steelers -2.5): The Browns have won each of their last two games with late scores.

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