We nearly went 4-1 with my Locks of the Week for Week 6, but we endured a tough beat in the final seconds of the Jets-Patriots matchup in Foxborough. Down 10 and just 36 seconds remaining in regulation, Glenn sent out the field goal unit to cut New England's lead to a single possession. Jason Sanders trotted out onto the field and easily netted the 36-yard field goal to make it a 26-19 deficit.
The ensuing onside kick was unsuccessful, and that brings us to our final, with the Patriots failing to cover the 7.5 spread by the hook. Ouch. 🚨BREAKING: THE NEW YORK #JETS KICKED A FIELD GOAL WHILE TRAILING BY 10 POINTS WITH JUST 30 SECONDS REMAINING.THE BETTING SPREAD WAS 7.5 POINTS, AND THE FIELD GOAL CUT THE DEFICIT TO 7.GAMBLERS WHO BET ON THE #PATRIOTS TO COVER ARE FURIOUS.WOW 😳😳😳 pic.twitter.com/Q0XhLeCGJz As brutal a beat as that was, I get it. If you kick the field goal and you recover the onside kick, you're a Hail Mary away from tying the game.
It's not the most likely of outcomes (as we saw), but it was a sliver of a chance that Glenn had to take, so it's hard to blame him. Even if it does sting on the gambling front. That brought us to a 3-2 ATS record with my five locks for Week 6, and that was truly the lone bright spot of a slate where I went 5-9 ATS and 6-8 SU overall.
I'll look to stabilize that record in Week 7, and that begins, as always, with my five locks. Note: Buffalo, Los Angeles (Chargers), Washington, and Jacksonville are on the bye in Week 7. We told you last week that the Colts were nowhere near being a 7-point favorite against anyone, including the Titans.
That proved to be right on the money as they lost outright, which helped lead to the firing of GM Chris Ballard. I'm not sure if a GM getting fired has the same effect as when a coach gets fired, and you see a galvanized effort the following game. That's especially true when the Indy offense continues to look lost with Daniel Jones at the helm and is now set to face Brian Flores' top-notch Vikings defense.
This season, Minnesota leads the NFL in blitz rate at a blistering 69.8%. Jones has largely checked down against the blitz this season, with his air yards per attempt falling to 5.2 against the blitz compared to 9.5 without it. In my view, that just means even less of a threat for explosive plays on the Colts' end, which helps keep things in check.
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