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Oregon vs. Boise State prediction, pick, odds, spread: Ducks face stiff test from Group of Six CFP hopeful

Oregon vs. Boise State prediction, pick, odds, spread: Ducks face stiff test from Group of Six CFP hopeful

cbssports.com 03.09.2026 22:16 2 views
Quarterback Dante Moore bypassed the NFL Draft to lead Oregon toward a national title, but Boise State brings a potent rushing attack to Eugene for a high-stakes rematch.

No. 2 Oregon begins its pursuit of an elusive national championship with a marquee battle against Pac-12 favorite Boise State on Saturday. The Ducks have reached national elite status under coach Dan Lanning and have won a combined 38 games over the past three seasons. With quarterback Dante Moore back for a final season, Oregon starts with its highest preseason ranking in program history.

Boise State is in the midst of its own resurgence after winning its third straight conference championship. Now, the Broncos are headlining the new-look Pac-12 and hoping to return to the College Football Playoff. Led by quarterback Maddux Madsen, the Broncos are 27-4 in conference games over the past four seasons.

When these two teams played in 2024, it previewed a pair of CFP appearances. The Broncos nearly stunned Oregon in a tight 37-34 loss. However, Madsen only posted 3.7 yards per attempt in his first major start.

Can he right the ship the second time around? This is the year: Oregon's been building to national prominence over the past several seasons, but 2026 is the year they have perhaps the best roster in the sport. The Ducks have eight players in the top 100 of the NFL Draft prospect rankings at CBS Sports, including two of the top 14 in QB Dante Moore and DT A'Mauri Washington.

Running the dang ball: No one could replace Ashton Jeanty, but Boise State proved itself as one of the most dynamic rushing offenses in the country. Running backs Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines combined for nearly 2,000 yards and 18 touchdowns to pace a top-40 rushing offense. Boise State has to work in a few extra offensive linemen, but the running game should again be a strength.

Spurning the draft: The junior Moore received top draft grades and likely would have been the No. 2 pick had he entered the 2026 draft. Instead, he opted to return to Eugene to perfect his craft. Moore completed 72% of his passes for 3,565 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

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