Polymarket traders see a 10% chance the AI bubble bursts before New Year’s Day Polymarket traders see a 10% chance the AI bubble bursts before New Year’s Day And a 20% chance it deflates before the second half of next year Worries that the AI investment boom is metastasizing into a bubble persist. For investors worried that the runaway artificial-intelligence trade might be about to hit the skids, prediction markets are already starting to reflect that anxiety. On crypto-based platform Polymarket, traders are quietly increasing the implied probability of a full-blown AI-industry downturn before the end of the year, although expectations for a blowup are well below their earlier highs.
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Here’s how far off they are from reality. Joseph Adinolfi is assistant managing editor, markets. Intraday Data provided by FACTSET and subject to terms of use.
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