Nasdaq on track for another record close in final hour; Dow down 150 points The bond market is flashing a warning for stocks. These sectors are already wobbling. The yield curve could invert again — but is that still a reliable recession signal?
The Treasury yield curve is flattening, and it could go to zero, says one fixed-income strategist. via What has been a reliable harbinger of trouble for stocks and the U.S. economy has begun to emerge in the $31.5 trillion Treasury market. The Treasury’s yield curve — the spread between shorter-term and longer-term yields — has flattened dramatically since the start of the Iran war as oil prices surged and Wall Street began bracing for the Federal Reserve to deploy interest-rate hikes to crack down on inflation. Copyright ©2026 MarketWatch, Inc.
All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8 The bond market is flashing a warning for stocks. She was ready to buy her dream condo — but discovered the HOA had just 1% in cash reserves Quantum stocks are getting hot again after a brutal summer. I’m 56 and retired with one child in college and another who graduated, but I’m still supporting her.
Joy Wiltermuth is assistant managing editor, markets. She is based in New York. Intraday Data provided by FACTSET and subject to terms of use.
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