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Who Will Win the Midterms? Play Our Prediction Game

Who Will Win the Midterms? Play Our Prediction Game

newsweek.com 03.10.2026 11:00 7 views
Use Newsweek's interactive tool to pick the winners of the House and Senate in this year's pivotal midterm elections.

Control of Congress will come down to a few dozen races on Tuesday, November 3, in what is ultimately a referendum on President Donald Trump’s second term, even if he’s not on the ballot. Trump’s Republicans hold both chambers by narrow margins, and the result will shape the final two years of his term as he seeks to cement MAGA’s legacy on the border, trade, foreign policy, tax, and much more besides. Democrats see a chance to take control of one, maybe even both chambers, amid widespread economic discontent over the cost of living as Trump's Iran war drives up energy prices.

The data center backlash as Trump accelerates the development of AI is another major factor in this year's contests. Trump and those in his orbit would likely face a wave of new investigations, maybe even impeachments, and an attempt to unravel what his administration has done so far. Getting any new bills through would require a level of bipartisanship and compromise with Democrats not often seen during Trump administrations.

So where will Congress land? This interactive map lets you call those races yourself and see where your choices leave the balance of power in one of America’s most pivotal midterm elections in recent times. Every House district, and every state with a Senate race this year, starts with a rating: solid or likely for one party, or a battleground, where the outcome is genuinely competitive.

The map opens with 37 battlegrounds in the House and nine in the Senate, and with neither party holding a majority in either chamber. Democrats start with 197 House seats to the Republicans' 201, and 45 Senate seats to their 46. A tracker at the top adds up the seats as you go and tells you which party your map puts in charge.

To play, click a district to hand it to the other party. Clicking a battleground cycles through Democrat, Republican, and back again. Each hexagon is one of the 435 House districts, drawn at equal size because a sprawling rural seat counts no more than a compact city one; positions within each state are approximate.

On a phone, tap a state to zoom in first, or choose it from the "Jump to a state" menu. The Senate tab works the same way for the 35 Senate races, including special elections in Ohio and Florida. The political arithmetic is unforgiving.

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