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Why some countries fail while others prosper in the Middle East and Africa

Why some countries fail while others prosper in the Middle East and Africa

aljazeera.com 16.09.2026 15:40 3 views
The answer lies less in geography or resources than in the institutions that shape power, legitimacy and opportunity.

The fundamental inquiry of political economy is why some nations achieve enduring prosperity while others are trapped in cycles of poverty and collapse. The answer lies not in geography or culture, but in the systems and rules that govern societies. When we evaluate the economic success or failure of a nation, we are ultimately evaluating its institutions.

Economic outcomes are inextricably linked to the frameworks societies devise to shape incentives and opportunities. Nations fail when they are captured by “extractive institutions” — structures purposefully designed to siphon wealth and power from the majority to serve the narrow interests of a small elite. This institutional paradigm offers a clarifying lens through which to understand the enduring developmental crisis in Africa.

The continent’s historical economic stagnation — often debated in terms of colonial legacy or democratic transition — is rooted in a long, devastating history of extractive institutions. From the ravages of the slave trade and formal colonialism to the modern struggle for accountable governance, this legacy looms large. While it is historically inaccurate to claim Africa was always bound by extractive rule, its politically decentralised precolonial societies were rendered structurally vulnerable to predatory European mercantilism and colonial exploitation.

Consequently, African states became ensnared in an institutional web from which they still struggle to escape. Today, the paramount challenge of the postcolonial African state is to forge national institutions that are accountable, democratic and oriented towards the public good rather than elite capture. In this context, international financial organisations like the World Bank often misdiagnose the problem.

Relying on orthodox macroeconomic models, they fail to grasp the profound institutional nature of Africa’s dilemma. While populated by well-intentioned technocrats, these organisations lack the political-economy framework required for genuine structural transformation; thus, they are neither the root of the problem nor its ultimate solution. The paradox of immense natural wealth coexisting with developmental failure is starkly evident in Nigeria, making the country a textbook case of an absent social contract.

Africa’s economic crisis is not a mere accounting failure; it is the direct manifestation of a profound political crisis — the absence of a viable state-building project. Despite possessing staggering human capital and a population well above 200 million, Nigeria lacks a legitimate, cohesive system of authority capable of delivering public goods. Since independence, this institutional vacuum has remained unresolved.

Extract — continue reading at the source.

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