Why the ‘Halloween Indicator’ isn’t working — and what smart investors are doing instead The U.S. economy is defying gravity. Here’s all the good news. I’m referring, of course, to the six-months-on, six-months-off seasonal strategy that calls for going to cash on May Day and returning to the stock market on Halloween.
This strategy, which is also known as the “Halloween Indicator,” attempts to exploit the historical tendency for the stock market to produce the bulk of its long-term returns between Halloween and the subsequent May Day. Copyright ©2026 MarketWatch, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8 Mark Hulbert is a columnist for MarketWatch.
His Hulbert Ratings service tracks investment newsletters that pay a flat fee to be audited. Gold is supposed to be a safe haven when inflation surges. So why isn’t it working that way now?
Former NFL players are nearly four times as likely to die with brain damage. Is it time to boycott football? The U.S. economy is defying gravity.
The Points Guy on the best travel rewards cards for beginners Wall Street may be sleeping on this networking stock tied to Google and OpenAI Intraday Data provided by FACTSET and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by FACTSET. All quotes are in local exchange time.
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