Week 3 of the NFL is here and it would be foolish to suggest we know everything. We definitely know some things about some teams -- the Bills and Lions are going to score points and maybe give up quite a few as well -- but we do not know everything about every team. The quarter season mark is where we can start establishing an identity for each NFL team, so we're only halfway there.
Bet on the NFL and more at DraftKings, where new users get $150 in bonus bets after spending $5+: For instance, the Buccaneers might be terrible! Or maybe they had two bad weeks at the office and are now a popular preseason team that is a home underdog in Week 3. The Bengals might be great on defense?
I lean that way, but it's hard to be definite about it. The Panthers are good enough to be a road favorite, eh? It *does* look that way, but it also feels risky.
In other words, we're in the confirmation bias stage to a degree. Believe what you see with these teams, but don't sell yourself on something from the preseason. That being said, I really like some spots this week.
The Seahawks remain surprisingly underrated by the market. We have the defending champions with an elite defense, a decent run game, a reigning OPOY on absolute fire going up against a backup quarterback behind an offensive line that got thinner last week. The Seahawks could legitimately be laying double digits here.
Don't sleep on two other factors in this game: the Commanders and their home crowd being completely demoralized by the loss of Jayden Daniels to a dislocated left elbow for a second straight year, and the possibility of Sam Darnold coming back for this game. If Darnold returns, the flat touchdown will look like good value. If he doesn't, Drew Lock has been more than competent and should be able to shred the Commies defense in what amounts to his likely last look to showcase for a future starting job.
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